Paper Reading AI Learner

Do Deep Learning Models and News Headlines Outperform Conventional Prediction Techniques on Forex Data?

2022-05-22 05:05:31
Sucharita Atha, Bharath Kumar Bolla

Abstract

Foreign Exchange (FOREX) is a decentralised global market for exchanging currencies. The Forex market is enormous, and it operates 24 hours a day. Along with country-specific factors, Forex trading is influenced by cross-country ties and a variety of global events. Recent pandemic scenarios such as COVID19 and local elections can also have a significant impact on market pricing. We tested and compared various predictions with external elements such as news items in this work. Additionally, we compared classical machine learning methods to deep learning algorithms. We also added sentiment features from news headlines using NLP-based word embeddings and compared the performance. Our results indicate that simple regression model like linear, SGD, and Bagged performed better than deep learning models such as LSTM and RNN for single-step forecasting like the next two hours, the next day, and seven days. Surprisingly, news articles failed to improve the predictions indicating domain-based and relevant information only adds value. Among the text vectorization techniques, Word2Vec and SentenceBERT perform better.

Abstract (translated)

URL

https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.10743

PDF

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2205.10743.pdf


Tags
3D Action Action_Localization Action_Recognition Activity Adversarial Agent Attention Autonomous Bert Boundary_Detection Caption Chat Classification CNN Compressive_Sensing Contour Contrastive_Learning Deep_Learning Denoising Detection Dialog Diffusion Drone Dynamic_Memory_Network Edge_Detection Embedding Embodied Emotion Enhancement Face Face_Detection Face_Recognition Facial_Landmark Few-Shot Gait_Recognition GAN Gaze_Estimation Gesture Gradient_Descent Handwriting Human_Parsing Image_Caption Image_Classification Image_Compression Image_Enhancement Image_Generation Image_Matting Image_Retrieval Inference Inpainting Intelligent_Chip Knowledge Knowledge_Graph Language_Model Matching Medical Memory_Networks Multi_Modal Multi_Task NAS NMT Object_Detection Object_Tracking OCR Ontology Optical_Character Optical_Flow Optimization Person_Re-identification Point_Cloud Portrait_Generation Pose Pose_Estimation Prediction QA Quantitative Quantitative_Finance Quantization Re-identification Recognition Recommendation Reconstruction Regularization Reinforcement_Learning Relation Relation_Extraction Represenation Represenation_Learning Restoration Review RNN Salient Scene_Classification Scene_Generation Scene_Parsing Scene_Text Segmentation Self-Supervised Semantic_Instance_Segmentation Semantic_Segmentation Semi_Global Semi_Supervised Sence_graph Sentiment Sentiment_Classification Sketch SLAM Sparse Speech Speech_Recognition Style_Transfer Summarization Super_Resolution Surveillance Survey Text_Classification Text_Generation Tracking Transfer_Learning Transformer Unsupervised Video_Caption Video_Classification Video_Indexing Video_Prediction Video_Retrieval Visual_Relation VQA Weakly_Supervised Zero-Shot