Few-Shot
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Your Model Already Knows Don't Teach It, Learn to Ask It: Soft Prompting for Few-Shot Adaptation of Vision-Language Models
2026-09-10 09:38:11Gautam Rajendrakumar Gare, Siyi Li, Hewei Wang, Cesar Daniel Hernandez, Wei Zhao, Wolfgang M. Pauli, John Galeotti, Deva RamananAbstract
We address few-shot object detection with vision-language models (VLMs) in out-of-domain settings such as aerial, industrial, and medical imagery, using only ten annotated images for supervision. Existing adaptation methods are discrete prompt optimization and LoRA fine-tuning. We revisit a third option: soft prompting, where a small number of continuous prompt tokens are optimized while the pretrained backbone remains frozen. We identify two key design choices. First, placing prompt tokens at the cross-modal boundary between visual and text tokens outperforms other placements (10.0 vs. 8.4 mAP). Second, initializing prompts from the empty space token outperforms semantic and random initialization. With these choices, one to three learned tokens (7,168 parameters on average) match the best LoRA configuration on Roboflow20-VL (14.2 mAP, 10-shot) while training over 20,000x fewer parameters. Soft prompting remains harder to optimize, exhibiting higher variance across random seeds. Unlike LoRA, however, it causes no forgetting: the LoRA rank matching our accuracy reduces NaturalBench VQA accuracy by 35% relative, rising to 56% at the largest rank, whereas soft prompting leaves pretrained performance unchanged. The learned tokens behave like prompts rather than weights. They transfer to a newer model without retraining (+0.8 mAP on Qwen3.5-9B) and can be verbalized into readable prompts competitive with prompt-search methods (matching DetPO and outperforming GEPA). The approach also extends beyond detection. On RoboCasa manipulation tasks, the frozen $\pi_{0.5}$ vision-language-action policy benefits from soft prompting, matching the LoRA baseline on two of three tasks when tokens are placed at the gradient bottleneck. These results suggest modern VLMs already encode much of what is needed for specialized domains; the challenge is learning how to ask.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.11310
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Solving Few-Shot Multiobjective Multitask Optimization via Iterative Sequential Transfer
2026-09-10 08:28:28Tingyang Wei, Haofeng Wu, Ananda Phan Iman, Zhao Wei, Jiao Liu, Yew-Soon OngAbstract
Applying knowledge transfer across multiple optimization tasks, multitask optimization (MTO) emerges as a promising approach to solving synergistic optimization tasks simultaneously. However, the development of effective knowledge transfer mechanisms in MTO fundamentally relies on aligning elite solution distributions across tasks. This dependency creates a critical bottleneck in few-shot optimization regimes, as restricted evaluation budgets impede the identification of elite solution distributions required for beneficial transfer. This challenge is exacerbated in multiobjective multitask problems, where each optimizer must approximate a continuous Pareto manifold rather than a single optimal point. This paper introduces Iterative Sequential Transfer (IST) to circumvent this bottleneck. We model MTO as a sequence of sequential transfer optimization problems, concentrating evaluations on a single target per iteration. We propose a likelihood-informed task prioritization mechanism to maximize transfer utility by identifying the task most likely ready for knowledge integration. Empirical results on benchmark and real-world problems verify the effectiveness of the proposed method under tight budgets.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.11228
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Are We Really Doing Few-Shot Learning? A Critical Examination of Pre-Training Assumptions
2026-09-09 21:40:16Alejandro Galan-Cuenca, Marcelo Saval-Calvo, Antonio Javier GallegoAbstract
Few-shot learning is commonly evaluated under protocols that pre-train a model on a large auxiliary set whose classes are disjoint from the target episodes yet drawn from the same visual domain. This paper examines whether such protocols truly reflect low-data learning. We systematically compare no pre-training, class-disjoint in-domain pre-training, supervised out-of-domain pre-training, and label-free out-of-domain pre-training across eight datasets, three few-shot architectures, and multiple way-shot settings. Our results show that class disjointness alone is insufficient to remove the influence of target-domain data. In-domain pre-training improves over no pre-training by 33.41 percentage points on average, whereas supervised out-of-domain pre-training yields 23.75 percentage points, revealing a 9.66-point optimistic bias associated with domain overlap. Although out-of-domain pre-training is more realistic in applications where target-domain data are scarce, its effectiveness depends strongly on the compatibility between source and target domains. We further show that labeled source data are not strictly required, with an augmentation-based label-free strategy reaching an average gain of 27.71 percentage points and closely matching supervised out-of-domain pre-training at 27.97 percentage points. Finally, we introduce a descriptor-based source-selection strategy that estimates source-domain suitability before pre-training, reaching a median gap of only 1.37 percentage points to oracle selection. These findings highlight the need to move beyond in-domain pre-training as the default few-shot evaluation protocol, since it can overestimate performance in realistic scenarios where target-domain data are scarce.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.10851
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Larger Context Window, Fewer Overcorrections: Optimizing Prompts and Batching for Minimal-Edit Grammatical Error Correction
2026-09-09 20:24:48Kateryna Karpo, Artem ChernodubAbstract
Minimal-edit Grammatical Error Correction (GEC) is a challenging task for zero- and few-shot prompted Large Language Models (LLMs), which systematically overcorrect and degrade $F_{0.5}$ by rewriting well-formed spans. While fine-tuning provides an effective solution, it imposes substantial infrastructure demands. We introduce a prompt-based approach that closes the gap to fine-tuned models through three advances in GEC prompting methodology. First, we introduce taxonomy-based instructions to enforce minimal-edit constraints with a comprehensive list of grammatical error rules, equipping the LLM with a bounded, metric-aligned scope of correctable edits, which benefits the strongest models while remaining model-dependent overall. Second, we show that batching multiple uncorrected sentences into a single input context acts as a targeted regularizer against overcorrection, systematically reducing the edit rate across diverse LLM families; we hypothesize this arises from attention dilution effect induced by the bounded capacity of self-attention scores. Finally, LLM-assisted Prompt Optimization refines these instructions. Powered by Gemini 3.1-Pro, our prompt achieves $F_{0.5}=78.32$ on the BEA-2019 test set - establishing a new prompt-based SOTA while shrinking the gap to the fine-tuned single-model SOTA (Staruch et al., 2025) to a mere $0.38$ points. Code, prompts, and outputs are publicly available.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.10810
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Multilingual in Name Only? Cultural and Linguistic Weaknesses of LLMs in Urdu
2026-09-09 18:59:52Farah Adeeba, Abdul Rafae Khan, Rajesh Bhatt, Hassan SajjadAbstract
Multilingual large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for open-ended text generation, yet their behaviour in low-resource languages remains poorly understood. In this work, we question how correct and reliable is the generation of multilingual LLMs when used for the task of story generation. We consider Urdu language as a representative low-resource language. We generate Urdu-Stories, a corpus of 93 stories generated using three contemporary LLMs (GPT-5.1, Qwen-3-Max, DeepSeek-3.1). We manually annotate the errors present in them under a nine-label linguistic, semantic, and cultural taxonomy. Our notable findings suggest that LLMs often make basic errors of grammar and semantics. The stories lack coherence, have unnatural repetition and show pervasive cultural shallowness. We further show using few-shot prompting that the cultural and context errors largely remain unresolved. Our findings highlight the limitations of current LLMs as a reliable source of content generation and information retrieval for low-resource languages.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.10758
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Meta-Learning for Data-Efficient Plant Growth Estimation via Vision Transformers and Fuzzy Clustering
2026-09-09 18:46:27Sheikh Hasan Elahi, Rusith Chamara Hathurusinghe Dewage, Habib Ullah, Muhammad Salman Siddiqui, Rakibul Islam, Fadi Al MachotAbstract
Accurate plant growth estimation is essential for greenhouse monitoring, yet obtaining labeled data remains costly and time-consuming. To address this, we propose a few-shot regression framework that combines Vision Transformer (ViT) feature embeddings, clustering-based task construction, and gradient-based meta-learning, and show that task construction in embedding space is a primary driver of performance. The approach leverages an unlabeled image pool to organize data into structured tasks using fuzzy c-means clustering, enabling efficient learning from a small number of labeled samples. We systematically evaluate meta-learning methods and show that second-order methods (e.g., Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning variants such as MAML++) outperform classical baselines in the few-shot regime. Furthermore, intra-cluster support selection has a limited and dataset-dependent impact. Experiments on two plant datasets show that structured task design combined with meta-learning enables reliable plant growth estimation under severe label scarcity.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.10749
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Learning to Adapt and Calibrate: Score Distribution Alignment for Few-Shot Uncertainty Prediction in Medical VLMs
2026-09-09 15:32:01Xuan Cuong Ngo, Ngan LeAbstract
Uncertainty estimation for medical vision--language models (VLMs) using conformal prediction has gained increasing attention due to its distribution-free coverage guarantees. However, standard conformal prediction relies on exchangeability between calibration and test data and typically requires a sufficiently large calibration set to obtain reliable coverage. These assumptions are difficult to satisfy in few-shot transfer settings, where only a small labeled support set is available to adapt a pretrained VLM to a new medical task, while an unlabeled query set is used for evaluation. Supervised fine-tuning on the support set changes the model parameters and consequently shifts the nonconformity score distribution, breaking exchangeability between calibration and query samples and leading to unreliable coverage under distribution shift. Existing transductive conformal adaptation methods often preserve validity by avoiding supervised updates. While this helps maintain conformal assumptions, it underutilizes the scarce labeled support data and limits task adaptation, which is the primary objective in few-shot learning. In this setting, conformal prediction should serve as an uncertainty estimation layer that supports the adapted model, rather than preventing adaptation itself. To this end, we propose AlignCP, a framework that reconciles supervised few-shot adaptation with conformal uncertainty estimation under non-exchangeability. AlignCP learns a reweighted calibration distribution that reduces the score-level discrepancy between the labeled support set and the unlabeled query set. By aligning the one-dimensional nonconformity score distributions, AlignCP aims to close the coverage gap induced by adaptation without requiring query labels.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.10333
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From Few-Shot Segmentation to Clinician-in-the-Loop Medical Image Analysis
2026-09-09 10:26:51Yazhou ZhuAbstract
Few-shot medical image segmentation (FSMIS) seeks to delineate unseen structures from a small support set, but its standard formulation fixes task-defining evidence before inference. This assumption is fragile when query cases exhibit acquisition shift, atypical pathology, ambiguous boundaries, or poor image quality. Prototype learning, cross-domain matching, interactive segmentation, uncertainty estimation, test-time adaptation, and promptable foundation models address parts of this problem, yet have not been jointly evaluated under a common model of expert attention and clinical risk. This Perspective reframes FSMIS as a sequential clinician-model decision problem with a static support budget $K$ and a distinct interaction budget $B$. At each step, a system accepts the current segmentation, requests feedback, or defers to full expert review. Queries vary in location and modality and are selected by response-conditioned net expected value of information; clinician-provided feedback informs bounded adaptation only after prespecified provenance, consistency, and safety gates. The framework separates distributional atypicality from predicted clinical failure and treats clinician responses as informative but fallible observations. We synthesize the transition from few-shot and cross-domain segmentation to interactive and selective adaptation, delineate the integration gap, and define four research directions with falsifiable hypotheses. Evaluation spans external-domain calibration, quality-effort trade-offs, reader studies, and prospective workflow assessment. The central claim is not that interaction alone resolves domain shift, but that scarce expert attention should be allocated only when it is expected to reduce clinically relevant risk.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.10001
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MUCnoHARM@GermEval Shared Task 2026: Retrieval-based In-Context Learning for Defamatory Offences, and Where It Falls Short
2026-09-09 06:44:46Kristin Gnadt, Maximilian Meidinger, Matthias A{\ss}enmacherAbstract
With hate speech being ubiquitous online, automatic detection is crucial, in particular when it comes to criminally relevant social media posts. We study a variety of retrieval-based in-context learning (RetICL) strategies for detecting defamatory offences under §§ 185-187 StGB (the subject of GermEval 2026 Subtask 4). Few-shot prompting beats zero-shot, but retrieval-based approaches offer only marginal gains over random demonstrations, and even fall behind an optimised static set of demonstrations. Providing concrete legal knowledge helps, yet model choice outweighs every other system choice. Models over-predict criminal relevance while still missing 26-57% of criminally relevant posts, suiting them for triage rather than autonomous moderation.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.09791
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Low-Rank Prompt Learning for Vision-Language Models with Fixed-Token Bases
2026-09-08 21:26:37Tanvir Muntakim Tonoy, Sajjad Ghiasvand, Mahnoosh Alizadeh, Ramtin PedarsaniAbstract
Prompt learning adapts CLIP to downstream recognition by replacing hand-written templates with learned continuous context vectors, which in Context Optimization (CoOp) form a dense prompt matrix $\mathbf{P}\in\mathbb{R}^{m\times d}$ trained from only a few examples per class. We study whether this matrix is over-parameterized by factorizing it as $\mathbf{P}=\mathbf{B}\mathbf{A}$, which cuts the trainable prompt parameters from $md$ to $r(m+d)$, and to $rd$ once the token-side factor $\mathbf{B}$ is fixed. Across seven few-shot benchmarks and two CLIP backbones, low-rank prompts match or improve dense CoOp at far fewer parameters, with the clearest gains on low-shot base-to-new generalization. We then find that the token-side factor need not be learned at all: fixing $\mathbf{B}$ to a Gaussian, orthogonal, SVD-derived, or even random basis and training only the embedding-side factor $\mathbf{A}$ stays on par with the fully trainable factorization, and a source-trained $\mathbf{B}$ offers no advantage over a random one. A prompt-factor asymmetry and a local update-space dimension gap show why fixing $\mathbf{B}$ is far less restrictive than fixing $\mathbf{A}$, and a smoothness-only guarantee certifies that optimizing $\mathbf{A}$ over a fixed $\mathbf{B}$ converges. In the CLIP prompt setting, the embedding-side coefficients carry the adaptation while the token basis can simply be fixed.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.09462
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It's All in the Way You Say It: The Role of Information Representation in LLM-Based Glycemic-Event Prediction
2026-09-08 14:07:03Andrea Apicella, Pasquale Arpaia, Matteo Orefice, Andrea Pollastro, Roberto PreveteAbstract
Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly being investigated for physiological time-series prediction, yet their effectiveness may depend not only on the model itself, but also on how physiological information is represented and presented at inference time. This study investigates prompt-based general-purpose LLMs for postprandial hyperglycemia and hypoglycemia prediction in individuals with type 1 diabetes. Using the OhioT1DM dataset, we evaluate multiple open-weight LLMs under zero-shot and few-shot inference across prediction horizons of 30, 60, and 90 minutes. The analysis varies both the textual representation of the available physiological information and the amount of information exposed to the model, ranging from glucose observations alone to derived descriptors and additional contextual variables related to insulin, meals, carbohydrates, and physical activity. Performance is compared with conventional patient-specific supervised models and with Gluco-LLM, a language-model-based architecture explicitly adapted to glucose time-series forecasting. Results show a marked task-dependent behavior. Conventional supervised models achieve the strongest performance for hyperglycemia prediction, whereas the best observed prompt-based LLM configurations improve performance for hypoglycemia across all investigated horizons. The effectiveness of prompt-based inference is also strongly influenced by how physiological information is represented, while providing additional contextual information does not lead to a systematic improvement. Overall, these findings highlight physiological information representation as a central design factor in prompt-based LLM approaches to glycemic-event prediction.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.08772
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BIFTA: Brain-Inspired Few-Shot Tactile Adaptation for Unknown Sensors
2026-09-08 12:39:36Boheng Liu, Ziyu Li, Xia WuAbstract
Advances in tactile sensing have made contact-rich perception possible, accelerating progress in robotic manipulation, material understanding, and embodied interaction. However, because optical design, elastomer mechanics, and imaging geometry differ substantially across tactile sensors, models trained on known sensor types can suffer an abrupt performance collapse on unknown sensors. To address this problem, we propose the Brain-Inspired Few-Shot Tactile Adaptation (BIFTA) framework; it draws on the brain's rapid sensory adaptation mechanism to adapt a frozen encoder to an unknown tactile sensor from a small labeled support set. BIFTA preserves pretrained representations through dual-view statistical memory, constructs support-conditioned spectral graphs to repair sensor-dependent feature neighborhoods, and applies uncertainty-gated recurrent propagation to strengthen reliable cross-query evidence. Extensive benchmarks across three tactile datasets show that BIFTA substantially improves adaptation to unknown sensors: with only 10\% labeled target data on SITR, it raises mean Sparsh accuracy from 6.86\% for the frozen source classifier to 87.09\%, exceeding the strongest implemented prior comparison by 47.22 percentage points, and these gains generalize across datasets, pretrained backbones, and tactile tasks. These results validate BIFTA for data-efficient adaptation to unknown tactile sensors and offer a promising route toward tactile models that transfer across heterogeneous hardware.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.08673
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LEBGen: An LLM-Enhanced Bayesian Network Framework for Few-Shot Travel Survey Data Generation
2026-09-08 05:58:37Zijian Shen, Bin Zhou, Jiguang Wang, Ya Zhao, Jintao KeAbstract
Travel survey data are essential for transportation planning and travel behavior analysis, yet collecting large-scale representative samples is costly and time-consuming. A practical alternative is to generate synthetic survey records from a few-shot sample. However, such samples provide incomplete coverage of heterogeneous traveler groups and insufficient evidence for recovering the complex dependencies between demographic characteristics and travel behavior. Existing approaches have complementary limitations. Probabilistic generative models such as Bayesian networks (BNs) offer explicit distributional control, but structures learned from few-shot samples may omit meaningful dependencies or retain spurious ones. Large language models (LLMs) can help address these difficulties in BN structure learning by providing behavioral knowledge that complements the limited statistical evidence. We therefore propose LEBGen, an LLM-enhanced BN framework that uses this knowledge to refine network structure for few-shot travel survey data generation. Specifically, the LLM first identifies traveler personas from demographic attribute and travel behavior statistics, then recovers dependencies missed by the persona-augmented BN structure and prune spurious ones. The refined BN is parameterized exclusively from the observed data to generate synthetic records. Under a 2% few-shot setting on the 2022 Hong Kong Travel Characteristics Survey, LEBGen reduces the mean marginal Jensen-Shannon divergence from 0.0671 to 0.0091 and the mean absolute Cramer's V error by 14.3% over the best-performing baseline, substantially improving both distributional and dependency fidelity.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.08288
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AAS-RAIL: Improving Information Extraction for Asset Administration Shells through Retrieval-Augmented In-Context Learning
2026-09-07 10:54:00Janek Gro{\ss}, Jens HeidrichAbstract
The Asset Administration Shell (AAS) is a cornerstone of Industry 4.0 and the Digital Product Passport, providing standardized digital representations of industrial assets. While manufacturers already maintain extensive technical product documentation, generating AAS instances from existing product datasheets remains a labor-intensive task because technical information is extracted from heterogeneous document structures and often involves company-specific terminology and conventions. In this work, we present AAS-RAIL, a retrieval-augmented information extraction (IE) approach that automatically generates Asset Administration Shells from PDF product datasheets using large language models (LLMs). Instead of relying on a fixed set of few-shot examples, the proposed retrieval-augmented in-context learning (RAIL) approach retrieves LLM-generated extraction helpers from similar Asset Administration Shells to provide instance-specific in-context learning (ICL). This enables the model to adapt its extraction behavior to company-specific naming conventions and formatting styles without fine-tuning. Our core contribution is the dynamic selection of company-specific AAS examples for each datasheet, replacing static prompting with an extraction pipeline that adapts to instances and combines semantic retrieval and structured information extraction. The proposed approach is evaluated on a collection of industrial product datasheets using a selection of open- and closed-weight LLMs. Experimental results show that RAIL consistently improves extraction quality over conventional few-shot prompting, yielding relative improvements of 30.4-52.4%. These results demonstrate that our approach provides an effective improvement for company-specific AAS generation.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.07334
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LoGAN: Multilingual Font Localization with Generative Agents
2026-09-07 04:34:15Zhuoning Yuan, Ta-Ying Cheng, Benjamin KleinAbstract
Localizing a font into new languages is a highly intricate task requiring precise design adaptation of glyphs, color/texture, and spacing/kerning, from source to target languages. Most existing methods focus on single glyph generation with limited capability in handling multilingual font rendering. In this work, we propose LoGAN, a VLM-based agentic framework for few-shot multilingual font localization, which takes in a small number of individual glyphs from a font or letters from a logo and uses them to generate complete character sets in other languages. LoGAN breaks down this task into multiple components: a glyph-level diffusion model, a style finetuning module, a spacing and kerning transfer algorithm, and a texture expansion model, with a VLM agent coordinator. LoGAN achieves broad language coverage for font localization with various styles, including Chinese/Korean/Japanese (CJK). We evaluate our approach on both font and real-world logo datasets spanning more than 27 languages and compare it against both specialized font generation and state-of-the-art image editing models with strong text rendering capabilities (e.g., FLUX, Nano-Banana). Our approach yields higher glyph fidelity while maintaining better style, texture, and kerning consistency according to both quantitative and qualitative evaluations.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.07029
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Re-calibrated Contrastive Loss for Transformation-Aware Prompt Conditioning in Vision-Language Models
2026-09-07 03:04:38Seungmin Oh, Seunghun Kang, Jongbin RyuAbstract
Ensuring effective transfer learning for vision-language models without compromising their generalization performance is crucial. However, many existing methods overlook data characteristics and simply reuse the training strategies adopted during pre-training. Specifically, they treat same-class samples as distinct instances and transform images independently of their paired text prompts, which makes model learning more difficult. We address these limitations through transformation-aware prompt conditioning and a re-calibrated contrastive loss. Fixed text descriptors identify the transformations applied to paired images, providing transformation-level consistency without altering class semantics. This design aligns the image and text branches at the transformation level, enabling richer representations while preserving the models' ability to generalize. In addition, our loss function mitigates positive-gradient dilution in soft-target cross-entropy when each anchor has multiple valid positives. During transfer, our approach treats same-class samples as positives rather than distinct instances, enabling the model to learn domain-specific features more effectively. Experiments across distribution shift, transfer learning, and few-shot settings demonstrate consistent improvements over existing approaches. Source code for our method is available at this https URL.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.06967
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Few-Shot Video Recognition via Hierarchical Metric Learning
2026-09-04 15:07:44Jiaxin Zhang, Haoran Gao, Xizhan Gao, Zihao Dong, Tingwei Wang, Sijie NiuAbstract
Few-shot action recognition (FSAR) aims to recognize unseen action categories with only a small number of annotated video samples. Recent works typically apply single-prototype supervision at the network output and fail to sufficiently exploit rich cross-frame global spatial information in videos. Even existing multi-level metric schemes only impose parallel prototype constraints on intermediate layers, without progressive supervision along the full feature pipeline, which results in limited generalization ability of the learned class prototypes. Inspired by this, we present a novel method, hierarchical metric learning for few-shot action recognition (HML-FSAR). First, a spatial-enhanced module is developed to capture cross-frame global spatial representations. Combined with temporal MHA, heterogeneous alignment, spatial-temporal feature fusion and dictionary learning modules, it constructs the complete feature processing pipeline. Second, a hierarchical metric learning (HML) strategy is embedded into HML-FSAR. Composed of center metric, alignment metric, contrastive metric, dictionary metric and prototype metric, HML imposes progressive multi-stage complementary constraints from frame-level representations to final class prototypes, so as to jointly optimize feature compactness, heterogeneous spatial-temporal alignment, inter-class discriminability and anti-noise robustness. The proposed HML-FSAR method is validated on five widely-used FSAR datasets, and experimental results fully demonstrate its effectiveness.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.05242
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PRICE: A Systematic Study of LLM Adaptation Choices for Bitcoin Price Forecasting
2026-09-04 15:01:38Maryam Fakhari, Mehran SafayaniAbstract
Cryptocurrency markets exhibit extreme volatility and non-stationary dynamics that challenge conventional forecasting methods. Although Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promise for time series forecasting, the combined effects of adaptation choices remain largely unexplored in financial settings. This study introduces PRICE, a structured approach for adapting LLMs to short-term Bitcoin price forecasting. Built on a 4-bit quantized LLaMA-3 8B model, PRICE investigates how fine-tuning, numerical representation, prompting, inference, and decoding jointly influence forecasting performance. PRICE integrates Parameter-efficient fine-tuning with Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA), Recursive multi-step inference, Integer-rounded numerical representation, Context-Task-Format (CTF) prompting, and Exact zero-temperature decoding. Ablation studies show that each component contributes to forecasting accuracy and reliability. LoRA enables efficient training on limited hardware, recursive inference improves accuracy, integer-rounded values reduce errors, CTF prompting outperforms Chain-of-Thought, Implicit Chain-of-Thought (iCoT), and few-shot prompting, and zero-temperature decoding improves stability during recursive forecasting. Comparative evaluation against eight transformer-based and time-series foundation models shows that PRICE achieves the lowest forecasting errors on both validation and test sets while maintaining robust performance across evaluation periods. Despite being based on a model primarily pretrained on text rather than time-series data, PRICE achieves competitive or superior performance relative to specialized foundation models. These findings demonstrate that adaptation choices critically determine the accuracy and robustness of LLMs for numerical time-series forecasting.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.05235
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Unifying ICL, SFT, KL-Regularized RL Through a Bayesian Lens
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Large language models are now trained and evaluated under a diverse set of paradigms: supervised fine-tuning (SFT), few-shot in-context learning (ICL), KL-regularized RLHF/RLVR, on-policy distillation (OPD), and test-time reasoning with search and chain-of-thought. These methods are often discussed as fundamentally different, and recent empirical results--such as the mixed impact of few-shot prompting on RL-tuned reasoning models--can appear puzzling. This note develops a Bayesian perspective that puts these procedures on the same footing. At the core is a two-step template: (i) construct a (generalized) Bayes or Gibbs posterior q* over outputs or actions given a context, using a prior/reference model and a utility signal (log-likelihood, reward, or advantage); and (ii) approximate q* by a forward-KL projection onto a parametric family, either in-weights (SFT/RL) or in-context (ICL). Part I formalizes few-shot ICL and SFT as amortized and-weights projections onto the Bayes posterior predictive. Parts II-IV show that KL-regularized RLHF/RLVR, reward-weighted SFT, reward-weighted ICL (RW-ICL), and advantage-weighted SFT (AWSFT) are all instances of forward-KL projection onto posteriors induced by rewards or advantages. We disentangle where these equivalences hold (objectives and first-order updates) and where they do not (source and granularity of the learning signal). Part V sketches implications for modern reasoning pipelines: RLHF/RLVR recipes as "posterior design + projection", why cold-start or supervised warm-up is practically unavoidable for importance-weighted KL projections, and DeepSeek-R1 and o1-style reasoning models as combining test-time Bayesian search with training-time KL amortization.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.05111
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MMTClinic: Multimodal, Multilingual Time Series Question Answering and Reasoning Benchmark for Clinical Domain
2026-09-04 07:59:19Sourav Malakar, Harshit Nigam, Akash Ghosh, Sriparna Saha, Amlan Chakrabarti, Saptarsi Goswami, Priti SinghAbstract
Time-series data in clinical settings is crucial for capturing dynamic changes in a patient's health over time, enabling timely diagnosis, personalized treatment, and early detection of critical events. However, the development of clinically reliable and linguistically inclusive medical AI systems remains a significant challenge, primarily due to the lack of multimodal, multilingual, and time-series-grounded benchmarks that reflect the complexity of real-world clinical scenarios. To fill this gap, we present MMTClinic, a benchmark designed to evaluate large language models (LLMs) on complex reasoning and question-answering tasks involving clinical time-series. MMTClinic combines text, medical images, and multivariate physiological signals and includes 30,000 QA pairs (15,000 multiple choice questions (MCQs) and 15,000 open-ended questions) across five languages: English, Hindi, Bengali, Marathi, and Tamil. These questions cover three important clinical tasks---mortality prediction, heart rate forecasting, and SOFA score estimation. We evaluate 13 state-of-the-art LLMs in zero-shot, few-shot, and chain-of-thought settings. Our evaluation reveals notable differences in model performance across tasks, languages, and modalities, highlighting current limitations in clinical reasoning capabilities. MMTClinic provides a valuable resource for advancing multilingual, multimodal, and time-series-aware medical AI research. The dataset will be made publicly available on successful acceptance of the work.
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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.04842
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