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Video Prediction for Precipitation Nowcasting

2019-07-18 14:19:28
Yuan Cao, Qiuying Li, Lei Chen, Junping Zhang, Leiming Ma

Abstract

Video prediction, which aims to synthesize new consecutive frames subsequent to an existing video. However, its performance suffers from uncertainty of the future. As a potential weather application for video prediction, short time precipitation nowcasting is a more challenging task than other ones as its uncertainty is highly influenced by temperature, atmospheric, wind, humidity and such like. To address this issue, we propose a star-bridge neural network (StarBriNet). Specifically, we first construct a simple yet effective star-shape information bridge for RNN to transfer features across time-steps. We also propose a novel loss function designed for precipitaion nowcasting task. Furthermore, we utilize group normalization to refine the predictive performance of our network. Experiments in a Moving-Digital dataset and a weather predicting dataset demonstrate that our model outperforms the state-of-the-art algorithms for video prediction and precipitation nowcasting, achieving satisfied weather forecasting performance.

Abstract (translated)

URL

https://arxiv.org/abs/1907.08069

PDF

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1907.08069.pdf


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