Large language models use auxiliary conditioning to incorporate additional information into time-series forecasts. However, auxiliary conditioning does not consistently improve accuracy and can increase forecasting error when its influence is poorly matched to the observed temporal context. We propose Forecast-Aware Residual Refinement (FARR), which learns to correct forecasts using endpoint evidence. FARR obtains a valid forecast under the standard condition and a null forecast under a predefined null condition. Their difference reveals how conditioning changes the prediction. A shared residual refiner combines this endpoint evidence with historical features to estimate the remaining error of the valid forecast. Horizon-wise gating then controls the contribution of the predicted residual to the final output. Experiments on four long-horizon forecasting benchmarks show that FARR achieves the best dataset-average MSE and MAE among the compared methods. Code will be released at this https URL.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07870
Autoregressive approaches with large language models, such as long chain-of-thought reasoning, have become the default for new AI applications because they reach higher accuracy on a wide range of tasks. In production, however, they give inconsistent answers, require parsing of outputs, and add cost and latency. Decision models address this: given a question and a set of options supplied by the user, they return a probability distribution over the options without autoregressive decoding. We present Drex, a family of four open decision models with 8B (DLM), 9B (v1.5), 35B with 3B active (v2.0), and 27B (Max) parameters. Each request consists of a state (a document, record, or agent context, optionally with images) and questions about it, each asking for a choice among options, a yes/no judgment, or a score on an ordered scale. Training combines supervised fine-tuning with reinforcement learning from adjusted feedback (RLAF), plus vision tuning for Max. Ablations show that RLAF improves accuracy and that consistency losses improve robustness to option order. On Decision Index 0.4.1, Max sets a new state of the art among the decision models we compare (67.52 on the public suite vs. 60.70 for Jev 1.14.0). On Decision Bench v4, it is statistically tied with d3-turbo and GPT-6 Sol and trails Claude Opus 5.5 by 1.6 points, and it has the highest accuracy among decision models on DecideBench. Max answers a typical request in 183 ms, against about 2.0 s for GPT-6 Sol and 3.5 s for Claude Opus 5.5, and its outputs are stable under option reordering. All four models are open source: this https URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07854
Frontier large language models (LLMs) have been reported to read, edit and write the weights of small neural networks, raising the prospect of auditing clinical prediction models from their files alone. Public demonstrations, however, mixed reading raw weights with running code. We separated these conditions in internally pre-specified simulation experiments. Tanh networks of 105 to 38,401 weights were trained on simulated cohorts of patients with subarachnoid haemorrhage, each with a planted relationship or none, and one network was trained on labels that under-recorded deaths in a subgroup. GPT-6 Astra and four other GPT models answered single prompts under a default or an explicit system instruction, either with the weights in the prompt and no tools, or with a calculation-only tool that exposed the weights (white box) or only the network's predictions (black box). Without tools, Astra recovered planted relationships in 353-weight networks but became unreliable at 3,457 weights, and under the default instruction it declined 11 of 12 audit and repair tasks as unidentifiable; the explicit instruction removed these refusals. With the tool, it recovered the planted relationship in all 29 runs on networks of up to 38,401 weights, raised no false alarm in 15 runs on null networks, and found the biased subgroup in 6 of 6 runs. Black-box access performed as well as white-box access, and other GPT-6 models read as accurately. A well-designed script matched the comparator models on the audit and the best LLM repair. For auditing these networks, what mattered was computation and elicitation, not access to the weights.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07847
In 2003, Clark et al. proposed the "Knowledge Plane", a layer of intelligent agents that share rich information about network state in order to collaboratively manage the Internet across administrative boundaries. The technology of the day lacked the two capabilities it demanded most: reasoning and unstructured communication. Thus, automated network management has remained largely confined to single domains, while interdomain problems are still resolved by human operators on the phone. We argue that agentic large language models can finally unlock the potential of the Knowledge Plane, but that doing so will require solving new research problems that arise particularly in this decentralized, multi-agent, coopetitive setting that have received limited attention in the literature thus far.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07827
Goal interpretation is to translate a natural language instruction into a formal symbolic goal that a planner can execute. It is critical for embodied agents because any error here propagates to every downstream planning and action step. Doing it well requires both generating suitable candidates and reliably selecting among them. We present a two-stage generate-then-rank approach to Goal Interpretation in the Embodied Agent Interface (EAI). First, supervised fine-tuning adapts a Large Language Model (LLM) to EAI's output convention. Second, Candidate-Output Ranking from Errors (CORE) learns preferences over complete outputs from the model's own generated alternatives. We conducted experiments on the household scenes of the Embodied Agent Interface Benchmark. Multiple open source LLMs including DeepSeek-V3 chat, DeepSeek-Reasoner, and Qwen2.5-7B and Qwen2.5-72B were evaluated. The proposed method outperformed the baseline models including LLMs with simple prompting, chain-of-thought, and knowledge graph based approaches.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07825
Small language models are often trained under tight data budgets, where the choice of pretraining corpus may matter as much as model size or training recipe. We compare two contrasting corpora at matched 10-million- and 37-million-word budgets: the 1911 Encyclopaedia Britannica and the BabyLM 2026 strict pretraining corpus. For each corpus, we train teacher models, distilled 58-million-parameter Baby-Llama students, and no-distillation student ablations, using the same model families, training recipes, and evaluation protocol across corpora. Across BLiMP, BLiMP Supplement, EWoK, Entity Tracking, and COMPS, the corpora produce different skill profiles rather than a single quality ranking. BabyLM 2026 is consistently stronger on linguistic acceptability benchmarks, while Britannica is often stronger on Entity Tracking, a synthetic state-tracking task. The contrast appears across teacher and student models and at both budgets, with the cleanest cross-seed replication in the distilled student comparison. Targeted controls show that the central contrast persists after matching training exposure and at a longer diagnostic context; direct teacher ensembling also does not reproduce the 10M Britannica student's Entity Tracking behavior. Entity Tracking magnitudes nevertheless remain sensitive to training dynamics. For this corpus pair, corpus choice can therefore produce different relative skill profiles at small scale, motivating multi-benchmark evaluation when comparing pretraining data.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07812
Two concept probes can be equally accurate at predicting a concept from a language model's hidden states while their scores contain different mixtures of the target concept and a correlated nuisance attribute. In four target--nuisance settings (two aspect sentiments in CEBaB; occupation and gender in BiasBios; Amazon review sentiment with negation, and with first-person framing), two LLMs, and a population of concept extractors, we compare decodability with discriminant evidence: the score's dependence on the nuisance at fixed target, and its response to input edits intended to change only the nuisance, filtered by two LLM judges and compared against placebo edits. Under correlated training data, extractors that are statistically equivalent in held-out AUROC differ up to several-fold in nuisance sensitivity in three of the four settings, and decodability is not a reliable proxy for it: their rank correlation changes sign across settings. The effect follows the probe's training data, not the nuisance's natural association with the target: first-person framing, unrelated to sentiment in natural reviews, is absorbed at least as much as negation, which co-occurs with negative sentiment, and decorrelated training removes the systematic effect. Selecting extractors with nuisance-aware development diagnostics, which need nuisance labels but no counterfactuals, lowers counterfactual nuisance sensitivity wherever the default choice is sensitive, at a small accuracy cost. Concept measurements should be validated, not just decoded.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07805
Semantic accuracy is an important dimension of knowledge graph quality. Graph-based scoring methods exploit relational structure, while textual representations allow classifiers to draw on knowledge encoded by pre-trained language models (PLMs). We present GenVer, a generative verifier that scores triples using both their serialized form and generated natural language representations (NLRs). A triple-text alignment procedure selects training pairs for a sequence-to-sequence generator; a BERT-based classifier then combines features from each triple and its generated NLR. On four FactFB variants, constructed from FB15k using perturbed negative triples, GenVer obtains the highest classification accuracy among the evaluated baselines, ranging from 88.56% to 91.52%. The experiments suggest that generated representations can help triple classification, while the case analysis also exposes semantic drift and high-confidence errors.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07780
Language models lose accuracy when a prompt contains non-evidential context: irrelevant statements from unrelated domains, or random off-distribution tokens, with no competing answer and no semantic overlap with the query. Such noise pervades retrieval-augmented, tool-using, and long-context deployments, yet the failure has lacked a mechanistic account. We trace the corruption to the Intrusion Pathway, which starts with MLPs enriching both query-subject and irrelevant-token representations, parroting heads carry prefix-token content to the prediction position, and relational readers largely avoid unrelated sources. Nevertheless, preserved subject enrichment and selective reading do not prevent intrusion in the broader computation. We then localize part of this interference to a sparse set of attention heads, which we call intrusion heads. Their prefix-derived writes promote distractor-related content, while their reduced support for the correct answer arises primarily from weaker non-prefix contributions rather than direct suppression by the prefix. The same heads transfer across tasks and distractor types and are largely weight-disjoint from the heads that integrate relevant contextual evidence, enabling a class-conditional intervention. Replacing the corrupted last-token residual with its clean counterpart, an oracle probe that requires a matched clean forward pass, recovers 97.6% on average of the distractor-induced drop across four downstream tasks. A deployable mask level knockout of about ten heads, roughly 1% of the model's attention heads, recovers 57% at bounded cost to helpful context.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07778
Enzyme function annotation and the identification of candidate enzymes for a given reaction are essential steps in connecting genomic information to biochemical reaction networks. However, existing methods rely on sequence or structural similarity or on training with known enzyme--reaction pairs, making it difficult to integrate biochemical evidence across large candidate spaces; they also struggle with retrieval tasks involving enzyme families whose members are highly similar. Here, we introduce RIVER (Reaction--enzyme Inference via Evidence-guided Retrieval), a multi-agent framework for bidirectional enzyme--reaction retrieval that identifies potentially catalyzed reactions for a given enzyme and ranks candidate enzymes for a given reaction. RIVER coordinates large language models, specialized biochemical computational tools, and external knowledge resources to assemble evidence at multiple levels, including reaction chemistry, protein sequences and domains, catalytic mechanisms, and database annotations. Dedicated validation modules further examine evidence gaps and potential conflicts and rerank candidates using traceable evidence records. On public benchmarks, RIVER achieves the highest success rates in both enzyme retrieval and enzyme annotation. In family-specific enzyme retrieval, RIVER outperforms the evaluated baselines on the selected datasets and metrics. In Escherichia coli enzyme retrieval tasks constructed from recent literature, RIVER achieves the best retrieval results with closed-source and open-source model configurations, substantially outperforming closed-source general-purpose and biology-specialized multi-agent systems, including Claude Code, Codex, and Phylo Max. These results suggest that evidence-guided multi-agent retrieval can prioritize biochemically supported enzyme--reaction relationships, providing a basis for subsequent experimental validation.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07757
The exponential growth of educational and informational video content on platforms like YouTube presents a challenge for efficient knowledge retrieval and assessment. This paper proposes an end-to-end automated pipeline for extracting structured summaries and generating high-fidelity Question-Answer (QA) pairs from video streams. The framework integrates a cascade of state-of-the-art models: audio extraction is handled via FFmpeg, followed by automatic speech recognition (ASR) using Whisper (A library in Python) to generate accurate transcripts. Due to the token constraints of Large Language Models (LLMs), transcripts are segmented and summarized using Facebook's BART. A key innovation of this work is a Self-Verification and Fine-Tuning Loop. We utilize meta-llama/Llama-3.1-8BInstruct to generate candidate QA pairs from transcript chunks, which are then fed back into the model to rigorously assess their relevance and importance. Only verified, high-quality pairs are retained to construct a synthetic dataset. This dataset is subsequently used to fine-tune the Llama model using Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA), resulting in a specialized model capable of generating domain-aligned assessment questions. This approach demonstrates a scalable method for creating self-improving educational tools without the need for manual data annotation. The proposed model can be downloaded from Kaggle with all the codes from GitHub.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07755
Typed decision models choose among a fixed set of answer options in a single forward pass, so unlike generative language models they cannot spend more test-time compute on hard inputs by generating more tokens. Looping a block of layers offers this compute in latent space without adding parameters, but prior work found no gain from loops retrofitted into conventionally pretrained models. We show that such loops help when trained together with the decision model. Our method, RELOAD (retrofitted loops for adaptive decisions), fine-tunes a pretrained encoder or decoder with a damped loop over its middle block and a lightweight controller picks the number of passes adaptively for each input. Across six models from 0.4B to 4B parameters, looping improves both accuracy and calibration, mostly on problems that need longer chains of reasoning than any seen in training, where encoders gain up to 23 points. Neither matched training compute nor more data closes this gap, and separate layers for each pass come close only with nearly twice the parameters. The controller keeps most of the gain at about three quarters of the compute.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07736
As large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human behavior, their operational validity is typically assessed through accuracy alone, implicitly treating human behavior as deterministic. We argue that on noisy digital trace data, a model's performance depends not only on predicting the correct outcome but on its calibration. We present a case study testing whether the token probabilities of open-weight LLMs can serve as confidence estimates in a Next Like Prediction task: predicting how a user of the Luxembourgish news platform this http URL rates a comment, conditioned on their prior interactions. Evaluating Ministral 3 (3B, 8B), we find that, with in-context learning only, the tested models are overconfident and are outperformed on accuracy and calibration by a simple statistical baseline. Accuracy and calibration do not move together: scaling from 3B to 8B improves accuracy while degrading calibration, and longer behavioral histories raise accuracy while confidence declines. Task-specific supervised fine-tuning acts as an effective calibration intervention, reducing Expected Calibration Error from 0.2 to 0.006 while improving accuracy from 0.536 to 0.758. We conclude that confidence estimation should be evaluated alongside accuracy to improve validity when using LLM-based agents.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07735
Diffusion and flow models have recently been extended to language modeling, generating text through continuous denoising in token embedding spaces. Pretrained models provide token representations and contextual prediction capabilities, but improving generation with limited additional training requires an appropriate connection between supervision and continuous generation. Continuous MSE evaluates a predicted vector obtained by weighting token embeddings with predicted probabilities; different probability distributions can yield the same vector and are therefore indistinguishable under this objective. We propose Token Identity Brier Flow (TIBF), which applies squared supervision directly to token identities when continuing pretrained language flows. TIBF combines network scores with token-matching scores under a Gaussian observation model, supervises token probabilities using the Brier loss, and uses probability-weighted embeddings for continuous generation. With fixed token embeddings, we show that the squared error between predicted token probabilities and the true posterior bounds the squared errors of continuous denoising predictions and flow velocities. A risk decomposition separates uncertainty inherent in the observation from posterior fitting error, motivating continued training that preserves pretrained embeddings and focuses on probability prediction. We also establish convergence to token embeddings under ideal predictions and sufficient conditions for local convergence with prediction error. From common pretrained initializations and under matched continuation budgets, frozen-embedding TIBF achieves this http URL values of 33.96 on OWT and 81.17 on LM1B, outperforming continuous-MSE and CE continuation controls. It attains the lowest this http URL at every tested sampling budget on both datasets, together with the lowest repetition rate on LM1B.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07721
Time-Series Anomaly Detection (TSAD) is a fundamentally challenging task: it is unsupervised, requires high local precision capabilities, and suffers from limited labelled data. Recent work has explored adapting Large Language Models (LLMs) to time-series via cross-modal transfer. However, existing approaches are poorly suited to Multivariate TSAD (MTSAD), as tokenisation often obscures fine-grained temporal and variables structures, and most methods optimise auxiliary objectives such as forecasting or reconstruction. We posit that these surrogate objectives become unreliable as model capacity increases. Highly expressive models risk reconstructing or forecasting anomalies, undermining the foundations of both strategies. Instead, we propose to use LLMs purely as feature extractors and directly analyse their induced feature spaces. In this work, investigate the ability of LLMs to provide useful representations for MTSADs in a zero-shot setting through classification. To this end, we study the separability of the extracted features, under the assumption that anomalous features should be isolated from normal ones. We analyse their temporal and contextual discriminative ability using simple step-wise tokenisation schemes, with one time-step per token, which preserve fine-grained local information. Their usability for MTSAD is assessed using an unsupervised Isolation Forest, enabling a direct evaluation of the resulting representation quality. We further investigate whether the observed performance can be attributed to the language-related pre-training of the LLMs or arises independently of it. Our results provide empirical insight into the ability of LLMs to represent multivariate time-series for anomaly detection and highlight broader applications of cross-modal foundation models.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07720
Large Language Models (LLMs) incur severe memory-access overheads due to the cost of loading large weight matrices and key-value (KV) caches. Analog In-Memory Computing (AIMC) is an emerging solution that enables computation directly on static weights stored in memory, substantially reducing energy and latency. 3D-IMC further stacks memory arrays into vertical tiers, increasing capacity but revealing a new challenge: how weights are placed in memory determines which matrix-vector multiplications (MVMs) can execute concurrently, affecting latency and throughput. The concurrency aspect of 3D-IMC weight-mapping remains underexplored in the literature, leading to sub-optimal utilization of compute resources on 3D-IMC chips. In this context we propose CAMP (Context-Aware Mapping and Placement), an inference-context-aware weight mapping algorithm for 3D-IMC-based LLM accelerators. CAMP captures the potential resource contention resulting from the architecture, targeted network, and runtime context in a conflict matrix, enabling throughput-optimized weight mapping. This mapping is refined through a profiling-driven feedback loop that efficiently prunes the search space and returns optimized mappings within practical runtimes. CAMP is an offline, software-based solution requiring no hardware changes and improving 3D-IMC compute utilization from 42.4% to 60.3%, delivering up to 2.0x higher 3D-IMC throughput and 1.74x higher end-to-end throughput over state-of-the-art mapping algorithms.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07707
Large language model agents are increasingly deployed through the Model Context Protocol (MCP), which allows them to discover and invoke tools across multiple servers at runtime. Existing MCP benchmarks primarily measure task completion; where they diagnose failures, they do so after execution rather than building specific reasoning, execution, and memory failure risks into task construction. We introduce MCPHallu, a benchmark for diagnosing hallucination-prone agent failures in MCP environments along three axes: reasoning, execution, and memory. MCPHallu contains 358 tasks across five capability domains and runs on 36 production MCP servers in isolated containers. Each task is designed with a structural trigger that makes one of four subtypes the dominant failure risk: Branch Collapse, Unreachable Goal, Tool Misuse, or Context Forgetting. This design enables subtype-level analysis rather than aggregate task success alone. We evaluate fourteen frontier LLM agents from eight vendors on 5{,}012 trajectories. Current MCP agents remain vulnerable to hallucination-inducing tool environments, achieving an average score of 0.642 on a $[0,1]$ scale (higher is better). Failures concentrate on Unreachable Goal tasks, where the average score drops to 0.458 and 23.2\% of runs pass, indicating that agents often continue issuing tool calls or claim successful completion rather than recognizing infeasible goals. Subtype rankings diverge sharply: a model's rank shifts by 6.9 of 13 positions on average across subtypes, and Branch Collapse is uncorrelated with Unreachable Goal across models ($r = -0.12$). MCPHallu is released at this https URL.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07689
Action recognition, and more specifically egocentric action recognition, is a core task in computer vision, with applications such as monitoring the daily life activities of elderly people and task assistance. Recent methods rely on visual modalities such as RGB video or depth. However, in egocentric video, an action is largely defined by its objects, which these methods rarely model. We propose a method that combines a frozen SlowFast video expert with an attention-based object expert by late fusion. Each object is represented with its affordances, that is, what can be done with it, generated zero-shot by a vision-language model. Since datasets such as MECCANO annotate only the objects involved in each action, evaluating with these boxes tells the model which objects are active. We therefore train on annotated boxes and evaluate the method with detections from the official active-object detector, and with annotated boxes as an upper bound. Without affordances, our fusion reaches 68.4% Top-1 with annotated boxes but 49.0% with detections. About half of this drop comes from non-active detections. To remove them, the same vision-language model generates an interaction affordance that decides whether a hand is manipulating each detected object. On MECCANO, objects raise the Top-1 of the video expert from 44.9% to 49.0%, and the two affordances raise it to 49.9%, above SlowFast and object-aware RGB baselines. Code will be released upon acceptance.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07673
Expert pruning compresses Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) language models by removing the experts that a calibration set marks as unimportant. Studies of high-resource languages largely find that English calibration transfers well to other languages. We test this for Lithuanian: we pruned four MoE models with REAP, removing 25% or 50% of the experts with English, Lithuanian or mixed calibration, and evaluated both languages on reading comprehension, translation and language modelling. English calibration does not transfer to Lithuanian: at 25% pruning, English comprehension fell by a median of 1.7 points but Lithuanian by 21.4. The transfer is asymmetric. Lithuanian calibration removed most of the Lithuanian loss and never significantly hurt English comprehension, which was on average 2.5 points better than under English calibration; only English language modeling got slightly worse. Routing suggests why: in the last layers, Lithuanian sends 55-72% of its expert selections to just eight experts, against 19-39% for English, and English calibration removes some of these experts. Compressed models should be calibrated, and evaluated, in every language they must serve.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07654
Current autonomous logical systems rely on a fragile assumption: that language models should dynamically write code, guess API payloads, and memorize operational constraints through prompt engineering. In practice, this burns massive context windows, inflates API bills, and produces brittle agents that fail unpredictably in production. In this work, we present Skillware, an open architectural framework and capability registry that formally separates what an agent wants to do from how that task is executed. Instead of prompting models with loose text instructions or markdown files baptized as 'skills', Skillware equips them with modular, versioned software capability bundles. Much like skill hotkeys in video games that execute deterministically under fixed world rules, each bundle combines a typed JSON input contract, deterministic Python code, task directives, bundled datasets, and automated unit tests. In-process adapters translate these capabilities into native tool declarations for any model, from frontier cloud APIs to local open-weight runtimes with zero network latency. Evaluating 23 frontier and open-weight models across 368 benchmark conditions, we show that small local models (3B to 8B parameters) equipped with Skillware consistently outperform unequipped frontier models on complex multi-step workflows. They cut token usage by up to 84.8%, slash inference costs by up to 97.3%, and eliminate parameter errors entirely. True agent reliability does not come from larger models or longer prompts, but from equipping logical systems with verified, deterministic software. Finally, we articulate the trajectory of capability bundles across an invariant continuum of information processing systems: from digital logical systems today, to IoT, drones, and embodied robotics tomorrow, establishing a foundation for auditable, real-time capability execution.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07652