In our book Why machines will never rule the world [13, 14] we argue that arti- ficial general intelligence is mathematically impossible. This is because the human beings and the processes which exhibit intelligence are complex systems whose be- haviour cannot be captured by the kinds of models that we can generate with or without computers. Proponents of contemporary machine intelligence respond with two lines of argument: a theoretical one, grounded in the universal approximation theorems for neural networks and the Church-Turing-Deutsch principle; and an em- pirical one, grounded in rapidly rising scores on standardized benchmarks. In this communication we examine and reject both responses. First, we show serious issues in the physicalist counter-argument based on the Church-Turing-Deutsch principle. Second, we review recent evidence to the effect that prominent benchmarks are compromised by training-data contamination, flawed test construction, and strate- gic optimization. Our central argument remains: That models required to perform cognitive behaviour in open-ended, thermodynamically complex and non-ergodic environments are not and will not become achievable.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11424
Researchers increasingly use ChatGPT to revise their papers, and recent GPT versions often narrow or even retract the authors' claims. We call such changes defensive writing when the given material does not support them, and we test two explanations: the model corrects the authors' overclaiming, or it writes for an anticipated reviewer. We ask GPT versions and models from other developers to rewrite paragraphs from papers written before ChatGPT, or to write from an evidence sheet that lists a paper's method and results. Defensive writing grows with GPT version. GPT-6-astra retracts the authors' claims outright, and when it writes from the evidence sheet, it still adds the most ungrounded qualifications. The results favor the anticipated-review explanation, and correcting overclaiming explains only a small part. When the models are only asked to polish, defense stays near the level of the originals; mentioning review raises it, and one round of self-review raises it further. At the same time, fewer than one in ten of the claims GPT-6-astra retracts are overstated. AI reviewers score defensive rewrites higher, while human readers find them harder to read and the authors less certain. Combining AI writing with AI review may amplify this style.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11355
Large language models (LLMs) increasingly act as agents with little human oversight, so potential mistakes they make can go unnoticed. Users then depend on the model to report what went wrong. An honest model discloses its mistakes, while a deceptive one conceals them. However, it is unclear how current LLMs behave in such situations. In this study, we prefill LLM trajectories with synthetic mistakes. The trajectories resemble real deployments in chat and agentic settings. Models fail to disclose their mistake in 36.4% of chat and 67.1% of agentic rollouts. In 2.4% and 5.3% of rollouts, respectively, they are aware of the mistake in their chain of thought but still deceptively conceal it. Rates vary by model: for instance, Gemini 3.5 Flash knowingly conceals mistakes in up to 19.9% of agentic rollouts. In 11.9% of chat and 51.8% of agentic rollouts, models show no awareness of mistakes, even though they reliably spot them when reviewing the same transcript as an outside observer. Our results show that, as agents take on more tasks with less oversight, users cannot rely on them to self-report possible mistakes. Developers should instead use independent monitors that review agent trajectories, or specifically train models to check their past actions and disclose what they find.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11351
Large language models (LLMs) are commonly post-trained against LLM judges and other cheap surrogates because the true reward, such as human preference, is too expensive to query at scale. This practice often leads to reward hacking, where reinforcement learning against a miscalibrated surrogate leads to undesirable side effects. In this work, we study a setting in which a small number $n$ of model outputs are annotated with ground-truth labels (e.g., from expert review) and used to recalibrate the LLM judge before optimizing against it. Prior approaches to judge recalibration are costly or heuristic, and it is known that on-policy sampling fails when the surrogate is miscalibrated on a rare set of outputs. In this work, we propose envelope sampling, a theoretically-grounded method for judge recalibration that seeks to minimize an upper bound on the regret of the post-trained model under the assumption that the human reward and re-calibrated reward lie in an $L^2$ ball around the judge. We give practical algorithms to sample from the envelope by rejection or by fine-tuning against a modified reward, and experiments on clinical note generation and on a controlled sycophancy task show that recalibrating on envelope samples mitigates reward hacking where recalibrating on base-model samples does not.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11281
How much of a conference accept/reject decision would change if the same paper were reviewed by a different set of reviewers? Running a second independent program committee is the gold standard for answering this, but it is prohibitively expensive: done only twice (NeurIPS 2014 and 2021). We build an observational estimator of this quantity from public review data alone, calibrate it twice, and apply it to nine years of ICLR (2017-2025; 36,113 papers, 134,912 reviews). The estimator decomposes scores with a Bayesian ordered-probit model into paper quality and reviewer noise, maps scores to decisions with a logistic model, and simulates two independent committees (posterior draws B=1,000; committee sizes k=2,3,4). Estimated disagreement rates are 23-30% at k=2 and 18-24% at k=4; 30-50% of accepted papers would be rejected. External calibration: at the NeurIPS 2021 reviewer-count caliber (k=3), the simulated 2021 disagreement rate is 23.3% [21.7%, 25.0%] vs. reported 23.0% (bias +0.3pp); accept precision and committee correlation agree within 5pp and 0.04. Internal calibration: on 18,740 papers with 4+ reviews, random model-free 2+2 reviewer splits agree with the k=2 simulation within 1pp in 2018 and 2021-2025. Longitudinally, we find no robust time trend in reviewer noise over 2017-2025. The high accepted-paper flip rates of 2020 and 2021 have distinct mechanisms: the 2020 four-point scale compressed scores (23.7% of papers had zero within-paper variance), and a counterfactual shows coarsening the scale raises disagreement by about 7pp; 2021 instead combined the lowest signal-to-noise ratio in the sample with the most threshold-crowded acceptances. For the LLM era, a 2023 breakpoint test on within-paper score variance finds no break, but the design has almost no power, and no post-2022 review text or confidence data exist, so no LLM attribution is attempted.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06591
Reconstructing complete, scene-aligned 3D objects from casual images requires integrating sparse, uncertain observations and inferring surfaces hidden by occlusions. We present GATOR, a generative and agentic framework that recovers textured object assets and their scene-relative pose from one or more images. Our local modality mixer couples patch-aligned RGB, target-mask, and pointmap features before cross-view reasoning, preserving scene context while distinguishing the target from its surroundings. Text-guided semantic conditioning complements these spatial cues with category names and object captions through stage-specific adapters for structure, geometry, and appearance generation. The generated asset initializes a multimodal agent, providing instance-specific geometry and pose for targeted structural and texture refinement through an observation-guided edit-render-review loop. Across synthetic objects, cluttered tabletops, and indoor scenes, GATOR achieves strong geometric and appearance fidelity while recovering scene-relative pose from sparse observations. Time-budget comparisons and scene-level simulation further demonstrate the reconstruction efficiency and simulation readiness. Project page: this https URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11215
Agent Skills package procedural guidance and resources for reuse, but a relevant Skill does not necessarily improve task performance. Existing studies characterize Skill content and evaluate downstream performance, yet provide limited explanations of how utility depends on content, execution configuration, and multi-Skill organization. We conduct an empirical study on 87 SkillsBench tasks, defining downstream utility as the pass-rate difference from No-Skill on the same tasks under the same model--harness configuration. We compare the same Skills across nine configurations, then examine alternative published Skills and organizations of fixed Skill sets under three selected configurations. We retrieve marketplace candidates from a curated corpus of 37,596 Skills. LLM-assisted analysis of content, execution traces, and final artifacts, followed by author review, relates provided support to actual use and task outcomes. The same Skills help some configurations and hurt others on 36.78\% of tasks, with trajectories showing that recommended procedures can become an execution burden. Relevance rankings overlook more useful candidates. Within the evaluated candidate sets, reranking by support for required operations raises first-choice pass rates by 4.35--5.80 percentage points across the three configurations. We derive 17 authoring practices linking executable procedures to recovery, preservation of task requirements, and checks on final artifacts. Stage Plan and Dependency DAG outperform use order alone, with DAG's additional benefits concentrated in tasks supplied with five or six Skills. These findings guide developers to assess usable operation support, allow procedure adaptation while preserving task requirements, and make artifact dependencies explicit when organizing Skills.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08875
Multimodal remote sensing image registration is a crucial prerequisite for the collaborative processing and downstream application of remote sensing data, such as image fusion, change detection, and target recognition. However, significant variations in radiometry, geometry, scale, viewpoint, and time often exist between multimodal images. These differences, driven by varying sensor geometries, physical radiation mechanisms, imaging platforms, and environmental disturbances, pose severe challenges to achieving high-precision, robust registration. This paper systematically reviews the progress of mainstream multimodal remote sensing image registration methods. Based on their registration pipelines, existing approaches are categorized into three main types: region-based, feature-based, and deep learning-based methods. We detail the core principles, representative algorithms, advantages, and limitations of each category. Additionally, we summarize publicly available multimodal image datasets in the remote sensing domain, analyzing their specific characteristics and applicable scenarios. Finally, we highlight current bottlenecks in high-precision registration research and outline future development trends. This review aims to provide a comprehensive reference and valuable insights for researchers in related fields.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11176
Single-image nutrition estimation can fail silently when visible foods are missed. Even when a food is correctly identified, its proposed region may not support portion estimation. We propose a framework that uses multimodal large language models (MLLMs) to inventory visible foods and separately verify food identity and whether each proposed 2D region supports portion estimation. One whole-image review uses these verification results to identify unresolved gaps and omitted foods, triggering at most one targeted recovery pass. Recovered regions are re-verified without access to the recovery prompt, then reconciled into a final item set for nutrition estimation. The framework requires no task-specific fine-tuning. Matched evaluation on common valid-output samples shows that item-level grounding improves mass accuracy across all tested settings and energy accuracy relative to an adapted retrieval baseline, with item-identity precision and recall also improving, while post-recovery visual coverage is assessed separately at inference time without ground-truth annotations.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11144
Most human-agent interaction today remains text-based. Natural language can impose cognitive overload, ambiguity, information chaos, and slow input for complex tasks; ephemeral generative UIs can present structured information and guide users toward task completion. We propose GenUI-Harness, a multi-agent harness pairing a Tool Agent for information retrieval and task execution with a GUI Coder Agent that identifies ambiguities and generates front-end code for structured interfaces. Training the coder with reinforcement learning is challenging: verifiable rewards for interactive UI generation require costly execution, while LLM-as-a-Judge rewards are prone to reward hacking. We address the first challenge with Dynamic UX, a lightweight package for dynamic interaction and reward collection in a single sandbox, and the second with Reward Auditor, a meta-reward mechanism that monitors reward distributions and distills diagnostic patterns into a shared rubric and scoring specification. We introduce UI-TAU Bench, a benchmark for active human-agent interaction through generated UI code, built on 10 real-world domain databases constructed from public data sources and based on Tau-Bench tool-use settings, with Lite (300 tasks) and Full (1,000 tasks) splits. GenUI-Harness achieves an average Pass@3 gain of 4.48 percentage points over smolagents on Lite. Training with GenUI-Harness improves a 4B backbone from 9.33% to 58.00% Pass@3, outperforming larger frontier models such as Claude Opus 5 (46.67%). GenUI-Harness also remains robust on ambiguous and non-ambiguous queries. In a reviewer survey comparing communication channels, generated UIs reduce average dialogue rounds from 3.4 to 1.2. These results show that data-aware generative interfaces can support effective task completion and reduce dialogue rounds in evaluated database-backed workflows.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11123
Visual tracking across the air-water interface is challenged by splashes, bubbles, refraction, reflections, and abrupt appearance changes that can temporarily invalidate observations. This setting poses two coupled difficulties: first, for evaluation, image-only annotation cannot reliably describe the target's physical location during visual blindness; second, for online tracking, corrupted observations can contaminate motion estimates and appearance templates. We address the first difficulty with a construction pipeline that synchronizes camera frames with motion-capture poses, projects known target geometry, corrects underwater projection with a medium-gated residual, and subjects the annotations to manual review. This yields an evaluation-only cross-medium test set of 22,346 frames. We further introduce a Cross-Medium Recovery Policy (CMRP) centered on confidence-triggered template selection. It supplies MixFormerV2 with the fixed initial template, a window-best pre-trigger template, and a trigger-frame Kalman-guided image crop, together with their associated weights, without retraining the visual backbone. In the accuracy evaluation, CMRP achieves 49.90 Macro Success AUC, 2.95 points above MixFormerV2 Official. On selected cross-medium transition and occlusion-recovery intervals, CMRP increases MixFormerV2 tracking coverage from 47.91\% to 50.43\% relative to Official updating, while mean loss-to-recovery latency over successfully recovered videos decreases from 55.3 to 49.3 frames.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11096
The rapid growth of scientific publishing has strained peer review, particularly in machine learning, raising concerns about declining review quality and increasing reviewer workload. Large language models (LLMs) have been proposed as automated review assistants, yet their evaluation has focused largely on imitating human-written reviews rather than supporting the core functions of peer review. Here, we introduce a verification-centric perspective on LLM-assisted peer review, emphasizing error detection as a critical and resource-intensive task. We present a scalable benchmark that evaluates review systems' ability to identify logical contradictions, constructed through synthetic insertion of errors into conference papers, yielding unambiguous evaluation targets and enabling systematic comparison. We further propose a Multi-Layered Review (MLR) framework that prioritizes detailed manuscript comprehension before review generation, aligning more closely with human reviewing practices while improving token efficiency. Across evaluations, our approach demonstrates strong alignment with human review scores, achieves high error detection performance, and provides complementary perspectives on reviewer focus. These improvements can be attributed to both the choice of the underlying LLM and the design of our system. At the same time, we corroborate persistent vulnerabilities to adversarial manipulation, underscoring the need for robustness in automated review systems. Our findings highlight the importance of rigorous, error-focused evaluation to guide responsible deployment of LLM-based tools in peer review and other critical scientific workflows.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11087
Agentic coding makes code generation cheap, but reliable completion remains difficult: the agent that writes the code is a weak judge of whether it is done. We present Humanize, a multi-agent orchestration workflow for agentic coding built around judgement engineering: explicit, mechanically enforced decisions at the boundaries between planning, implementation, review, and learning. A human approves a plan contract, a builder agent implements it in rounds, and a reviewer agent from another vendor decides completion; deterministic hooks, not a model, route work between these roles and enforce 72 mechanical gates. Viewed as a Markov chain over repository states, alternating builder and reviewer samples jointly from two models, so a defect survives only if both miss it. We study Humanize through its deployment, 118 public postmortems of real loops, and its applications. Over 68 versions in 108 days, it gathered 1,468 GitHub stars. Applications include a 567-file gem5 build-system migration under upstream review; Kernel Design Agents, which extend the loop with a kernel knowledge base and profiling feedback and placed in the top three of all three Full-Agent tracks of the MLSys 2026 FlashInfer contest; and, through Humanize Olympiad Agents (HOA), full scores in IOI 2026, IMO 2026, IPhO 2026, and IBO 2024, 418.5/437 in IChO 2026 (gold-medal). Humanize also achieves 672/672 on PutnamBench and ranks first (251/303) on Lean-Eval's leaderboard even competiting with professional mathematicians. The postmortems show that independent review catches unsupported builder claims, but stopping remains a key weakness. In reports that separate rounds by phase, two thirds of rounds occurred after implementation was accepted. This evidence is observational, not a controlled comparison of workflows.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08900
At the start of every session, LLM agents load a fixed context file, such as $\texttt{this http URL}$. Each loaded token in the file is charged again in every later round of the session, and these files can degrade performance as they grow in size. However, in practice, human or automated curators usually grow these files by appending. We formulate context curation as a capacitated assortment problem. Instructions consume tokens under a finite attention capacity; adding an instruction never raises the compliance of the others, while retained instructions incur a per-session setup cost. We prove an upper bound on the optimal file size, regardless of the number of available candidate instructions, and that appending every instruction with positive standalone value can be arbitrarily worse in net value than selecting an optimal subset. A token budget also limits the loss when the token price is underestimated. We then examine what can be learned from past sessions and how this information can guide decisions to add or remove instructions. Feedback is inherently censored: the benefits and harms of loaded instructions are observable, whereas missing instructions generate feedback only when their absence causes harm. In this setting, we show that deleting instructions ignored by agents can inevitably remove helpful ones. We characterize how much evidence should be collected before adding an instruction. Besides, we bound regret when human reviewers can inspect only a limited number of edits per period. Empirical experiments further show that irrelevant rules drawn from real context files reduce language-model compliance.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11007
Coding agents increasingly share a workstation while drawing on separate providers and subscription allowances. A second agent can inspect a completed answer, but the call spends another pool and may provide no substantive finding. We describe an advisory cross-provider review contract: distinct resource pools, bounded execution, restricted reviewer capabilities, complete input delivery, usable semantic output, explicit failure states and durable per-attempt evidence. In a controlled, agent-authored pilot of 20 paired development turns, eight had a material reviewer finding (95% exact interval 19.1-63.9%). A boundary-condition scan across both reviewer backends reproduced a previously discovered false success on partial input: four truncation levels passed historically and failed after repair. The scan also found and repaired cancellation during process reaping. In real CLI probes, Claude had no writing tools; Codex attempted writes in five of five read-only trials, each write tool failed, and no disposable repository changed. These tests cover specified paths and versions, not field reliability. A preregistered shadow study of metadata-only review allocation accrued 25 formal observations before an exact-runtime regression found a third defect: a reviewer exiting nonzero with a well-formed verdict was counted as complete. Exit status was not recorded per attempt, so exposure cannot be resolved retrospectively. The 25 formal and two pending records remain an audit cohort; the measurement-valid cohort restarted at zero and collection has begun. No gate result is reported.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10961
How might AI alter how we understand and experience the self? This scoping review analyzes 102 papers to examine how the self is defined in the field of human-computer interaction (HCI), how AI-self relationships are conceptualized, and what risks emerge when AI becomes entangled with selfhood. Our synthesis makes three contributions. First, we define AI-mediated self as a conceptual umbrella that connects dispersed work across education, workplace, health, and creative practices. Second, we consolidate six framings of the self with four domains of ethical risk-agency/autonomy, identity/authorship, relational capacity, and meaning-making-into a conceptual map that provides a reusable vocabulary across contexts. Third, we introduce the Inclusion of AI-Self framework, which situates AI-self relationships along a spectrum of proximity. Together, these contributions position selfhood as a central design space in HCI.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10770
How does the human mind represent semantic categories? Why do natural languages favor certain meanings over others? Prior explanations have relied on logical definability and complexity, but these are highly sensitive to the choice of logical language, rendering some design choices unmotivated. In this article, we propose that machine learning provides a somewhat more agnostic approach to measuring semantic complexity. We review emerging evidence that logic and machine learning often yield converging results on relative complexity and its resulting effects in semantic typology. Where they diverge, learning appears to be a better explanation than logical complexity. We argue that treating machine learning models as ``cognitive thermometers'' enables a unified approach to complexity that bridges symbolic logic and connectionist AI.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10724
For better or worse, LLMs are by now used routinely for scientific writing.\footnote{This paper is no exception; we did use AI to assist with writing some of the sections (see Acknowledgments).} Many have noticed that recent models fill papers with unnecessary antithesis, stating over and over what the work does not do, in ways that do not contribute to its precision or quality of expression and annoy reviewers \emph{rather than impressing them}. We study the construction \emph{rather than} in ACL papers from 2019, ACL-style arXiv papers from 2026, and papers written by GPT models from the same titles and abstracts. Its rate in 2026 is seven times the 2019 rate, and higher still in the GPT papers. Two annotators, blind to the source, find almost no 2019 use \emph{annoying} and about one in ten 2026 uses; they seldom agree on which, yet about half of 2026 papers contain a use that annoys each of them. \emph{Annoying} uses present the rejected alternative less favorably than legitimate uses. Raters of preference data and open reward models favor the construction, and an instruction to be honest promotes it. We conjecture that it is a side effect of post-training on pairwise preferences, which credit a disavowal in a single response and cannot register its cost across a text.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10092
Screening in systematic reviews (SRs) is manual and time-consuming. Prior work has explored large language models (LLMs) for automating this step, but LLMs are evolving rapidly, so earlier performance claims may no longer accurately reflect their screening performance. We used an existing software engineering SR screening benchmark (SESR-Eval) as our data. We also power-sampled a new, smaller dataset (SESR-Eval-Mini) that allows evaluation at lower costs. Using this data, we evaluated eight new LLMs for screening performance. Additionally, we tested different prompts, analyzed LLM agreement in screening decisions and criteria, and examined the effect of refining the inclusion and exclusion criteria on screening performance. The eight new LLMs performed marginally better than the seven old ones: avg. MCC across secondary studies rose from 0.347 to 0.365. Differences between secondary studies are still bigger than between LLMs. Computing the overall screening decision from criterion-level decisions degraded screening performance only slightly. LLMs generally agree with each other in their corresponding screening decisions (mean Gwet's AC1 = 0.830), though certain inclusion and exclusion criteria showed larger disagreement than others. Refining the inclusion and exclusion criteria slightly improved recall and made decisions easier for some LLMs, but overall impacts of criteria refinement were modest. LLMs are not yet ready to replace humans in paper screening and the advantages new, more costly models bring, appear to be very limited. Agent-based approaches, prompt engineering, and further criteria refinement are three potential future research avenues.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10633
In the framework of edge-weighted graphs, watersheds have proven to be linked to well-known optimization problems, as Minimum Spanning Tree, which allowed the design of efficient algorithms for computing (hierarchical) watershed segmentations. In the present article, after reviewing the literature related to watershed segmentation, we present a detailed end-to-end pipeline of algorithms to compute (hierarchical) watershed segmentations, starting from the computation of graph-based image representations, up to the computation of connected components of the final (hierarchical) segmentation. We consider the several variations of watersheds, including their supervised and unsupervised versions, and the various ways of computing seeds, to name a few. For the first time, we bring together all these watershed notions and algorithms in a compact and understandable way. We aim at providing a reference for those interested in employing and reimplementing the watershed segmentation framework for their task at hand.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10012