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Grounding Healthcare LLMs in a Causal Knowledge Graph: Framework, Metrics, and a Cardiovascular Pilot

2026-08-15 19:21:51
Ummara Mumtaz, Aimen Noor, Awais Ahmed

Abstract

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly proposed for healthcare decision support, but their evaluations still reward single-answer accuracy rather than reasoning about interventions, mechanisms, harms, evidence, and uncertainty. We propose a reproducible, graph-centered evaluation framework for intervention-oriented LLM behavior in healthcare and stress-test it in a cardiovascular pilot. The framework has four components: (i) a domain causal knowledge graph in which assertions are first-class, provenance-preserving nodes with stable identifiers; (ii) a scenario-conditioned subgraph extraction step that, given any clinical scenario, retrieves the relevant reified-assertion subgraph; (iii) four controlled grounding conditions that vary how the retrieved subgraph is composed into the model's context (ungrounded C1, knowledge-graph C2, causal-graph C3, integrated C4); and (iv) an automated scoring pipeline, anchored on assertion identifiers, that computes intervention accuracy, and other evaluation measures on a single pass. To test the framework, we built a category-balanced scenario generator across eight reasoning failure modes and instantiated it on a cardiovascular graph. The metric panel discriminates conditions along interpretable, non-redundant axes: C4 obtains the strongest causal edge F1 (0.838), adverse-effect F1 (0.833), evidence accuracy (0.738), and unsupported claim rate (0.114), while C1 obtains the highest raw intervention accuracy (0.948) with no measurable causal or evidential grounding.

Abstract (translated)

URL

https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.15382

PDF

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2608.15382.pdf


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