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Nice Fold or Hero Call: Learning Budget-Efficient Thinking under Policy-Dependent Solvability

2026-09-25 01:07:21
Zhaomeng Zhou, Lan Zhang, Junyang Wang, Mu Yuan, Songlin Liu, Tingzhao Li, Yiqing Hu, Yumeng Zhao

Abstract

Large reasoning models (LRMs) improve problem solving through extended reasoning, but often misallocate test-time compute. Existing efficiency methods reduce cost by compressing reasoning traces or conditioning budget on perceived difficulty, yet read the resulting pass rate as a difficulty score, leaving the zero-return regime unmodeled. As a result, they overspend on queries beyond the model's capability while compressing hard-but-solvable ones that need deeper reasoning. In this work, we formulate adaptive reasoning as a computational investment under uncertainty, where budget follows the expected return of reasoning rather than perceived difficulty. To instantiate this principle, we propose Budget-Efficient Thinking (BET), a two-stage framework that combines behavioral cold-start with GRPO under an investment-cost-aware reward. By aligning solve-or-fold decisions with rollout-derived solvability, BET learns three behaviors: (1) short solve, answering easy queries concisely; (2) nice fold, abstaining early when continued reasoning has near-zero expected return; and (3) hero call, preserving sufficient compute for hard-but-solvable queries. Across seven benchmarks and three base models, BET reduces reasoning tokens by 54% while improving up to 3.2% accuracy, and transfers zero-shot to scientific QA and logical reasoning with comparable efficiency gains. Code is available at this https URL

Abstract (translated)

URL

https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.11625

PDF

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.11625.pdf


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