Paper Reading AI Learner

Reliability-Aware Future Conditioning for Temporally Robust Robot Manipulation

2026-10-08 13:40:48
Mohammad Khoshnazar, Mohammad Dehghani Tezerjani, Zhiyuan Gao, Deyuan Qu, Max Gandyra, Yanxiang Zhan, Mehreen Naeem, Andrew Melnik, Jeroen Schafer, Qing Yang, Michael Beetz

Abstract

A generated video of a task the robot is about to perform is useful guidance only if it depicts the phase the robot is actually in. We show that temporal misalignment can turn a task-consistent generated future into actively harmful guidance. On CALVIN, a five-frame early shift nearly erases the benefit of generated futures, reducing success from 81.3% to 54.8% against 54.0% without futures; imposed timing shifts reduce it even further to 34.2%, 19.8 points below the future-free policy. We introduce Reliability-Aware Future Conditioning (RAFC), which treats this as a control problem rather than a generation problem. At every step, RAFC estimates how far to trust the received clip and which nearby temporal hypothesis to prefer, falling back toward a static branch when neither fits, and it learns both from task reward alone without shift labels or alignment supervision. RAFC sits on top of Future-Experience Conditioning (FEC), which builds the clip once from task grounding, a robot-free digital-twin rollout, and mask-free video diffusion. Under deliberately off-grid phase shifts and rate mismatch, RAFC substantially improves success under temporal mismatch. Candidate ensembling accounts for most of the recovery near alignment, while learned reliability adds a further 7.0 percentage points over uniform averaging of the identical candidate bank under off-grid shifts. The gain holds on the evaluated task sets and survives on a Franka under natural timing mismatch nobody imposed, where aggregate success rises from 26.7% to 56.7%. All resources will be made publicly available. this https URL.

Abstract (translated)

URL

https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.11956

PDF

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2610.11956.pdf


Tags
3D Action Action_Localization Action_Recognition Activity Adversarial Agent Attention Autonomous Bert Boundary_Detection Caption Chat Classification CNN Compressive_Sensing Contour Contrastive_Learning Deep_Learning Denoising Detection Dialog Diffusion Drone Dynamic_Memory_Network Edge_Detection Embedding Embodied Emotion Enhancement Face Face_Detection Face_Recognition Facial_Landmark Few-Shot Gait_Recognition GAN Gaze_Estimation Gesture Gradient_Descent Handwriting Human_Parsing Image_Caption Image_Classification Image_Compression Image_Enhancement Image_Generation Image_Matting Image_Retrieval Inference Inpainting Intelligent_Chip Knowledge Knowledge_Graph Language_Model LLM Matching Medical Memory_Networks Multi_Modal Multi_Task NAS NMT Object_Detection Object_Tracking OCR Ontology Optical_Character Optical_Flow Optimization Person_Re-identification Point_Cloud Portrait_Generation Pose Pose_Estimation Prediction QA Quantitative Quantitative_Finance Quantization Re-identification Recognition Recommendation Reconstruction Regularization Reinforcement_Learning Relation Relation_Extraction Represenation Represenation_Learning Restoration Review RNN Robot Salient Scene_Classification Scene_Generation Scene_Parsing Scene_Text Segmentation Self-Supervised Semantic_Instance_Segmentation Semantic_Segmentation Semi_Global Semi_Supervised Sence_graph Sentiment Sentiment_Classification Sketch SLAM Sparse Speech Speech_Recognition Style_Transfer Summarization Super_Resolution Surveillance Survey Text_Classification Text_Generation Time_Series Tracking Transfer_Learning Transformer Unsupervised Video_Caption Video_Classification Video_Indexing Video_Prediction Video_Retrieval Visual_Relation VQA Weakly_Supervised Zero-Shot